Politics, Politics, Politics

Republicans Will Not Learn Much From This Election
Although at the present time it's kind of hard to believe, there is a faction of the Republican Party which looks towards the future and sees some very problematic demographic shifts awaiting it. These forward-looking types tried to educate the rest of their party after they got shellacked in the 2012 presidential race, dissecting the festering corpse of Mitt Romney's campaign in an autopsy, and then issuing a post-mortem document pleading Republicans to begin instituting some basic changes. Mostly, these changes can be boiled down to: "Don't badmouth minorities so blatantly, because if you do so it is very hard to convince them to vote Republican." Also pointed out was the fact that young Americans are much more inclusive than the Republican Party as a whole, and losing an entire generation of voters is going to hurt for decades to come.

Of course, almost none of this advice was followed. A quick overview of the Republican presidential nomination race proves this beyond a shadow of a doubt. The big problem for Republicans now is that they certainly didn't learn their lesson the last time around, and it is almost impossible to believe that they will this time, either. The dynamics of the race pretty much guarantee that there will be a built-in excuse for the faithful to latch onto, should the Democrats win in November.

In the most recent losing presidential contests on the Republican side, staunch conservatives always fall back on the same excuse: "If only we had nominated a true conservative, we'd have won." The "establishment" candidate always seemed to win the nomination, which was the heart of the problem (for true conservatives). It wasn't that Mitt Romney couldn't reach out to independent voters, it was that he didn't do enough to excite the base. If only a real conservative had won the nomination, this thinking goes, they would have won in a landslide.

This time around, however, the built-in excuse will be: "Donald Trump upset the apple cart, so no real lessons can be drawn because it was such an abnormal election." If Trump hadn't run, and if someone like Ted Cruz had become the nominee, then it really would have put the "nominate a dyed-in-the-wool conservative and you'll win in November" theory to the test. If, in this alternate universe, the Democrat had beaten Cruz badly, then the establishment could have put the theory to rest once and for all. "See?" they'd say, "That was as bad as Barry Goldwater -- next time, you'll nominate a good establishment figure and we might win."

But Trump did run. And then he won. And won and won and won. He's now headed straight for the nomination, in fact. This guarantees that absolutely no lessons will be learned by Republicans in the aftermath. Play out every possible ending, and they all wind up at the same place: Republicans bickering about what happened, and putting all blame on Trump himself.

If Trump wins the nomination outright and then goes on to lose to Hillary Clinton, the response will be: "Trump was not a true conservative -- heck, he wasn't even a true Republican." If Trump is denied the nomination at the convention, the candidate who does get the nod will be seen as flawed by roughly half the party, and the built-in excuse if he loses will be: "Trump caused all this mess, next time around will be different." If there is a third-party candidate (either Trump, after being denied the nomination at the convention, or a third-party conservative who runs against Trump in the general election), then the excuse for losing will be obvious: "It was the third party's fault!" If Trump actually beats Hillary to win the general election, then there will be no post-mortem and the party will instead learn a very dangerous lesson indeed: demagoguery works.

In none of these scenarios is it possible to see the Republican Party doing serious self-examination afterwards. Donald Trump is his own faction. He's leading a cult of personality, not an ideological crusade. Because of this, no firm conclusions will even be possible afterwards. Oh, sure, the Republicans might overhaul their primary process to avoid this ever happening again (maybe they'll even take a page from the Democrats' playbook and introduce the superdelegate idea?), but this won't be the election to bury the "let's nominate a real conservative" idea. Far from it. In fact, things are so bizarre with Trump in the race that Ted Cruz is now the reasonable alternative for establishment Republicans. Having Ted Cruz be the "reasonable alternative" to anything or anyone just shows how bizarre things stand in the GOP right now. Absent Trump, Cruz would be the one party bigwigs were running ads against, desperately trying to stop him. Instead, he's now the last chance they have to stop Trump.
If Donald Trump becomes the GOP nominee and goes on to lose to Hillary Clinton, the post-mortem afterwards will be nothing more than the establishment Republicans loudly telling their own base voters: "We told you so!" Trump is so far out of the usual divide between the establishment and conservative wings of the party that no real lessons will be learned -- or even possible.

Democrats, to be fair, seem like they're going to postpone a similar reckoning in their party as well. If Bernie Sanders falls short of his goal, then the counter-argument from the left ("Let's nominate a true progressive and we'll surely win!") will continue into the next election cycle. If Bernie had won, Democrats would have had a chance to test the proposition this year, but after last night that doesn't seem very likely. This argument has been raised multiple times in recent years (by supporters of Howard Dean, Dennis Kucinich, and John Edwards), and its appeal appears to be growing stronger. Bernie might lose, but he'll lose by a lot smaller margin than Dean, Kucinich, and Edwards lost. This shows the growing dissatisfaction within Democratic ranks with their own establishment, and next time around the progressives might actually win the nomination (when Hillary Clinton is not on the ballot, perhaps in 2024 after her second term). So it's an argument that will take place in a future year among Democrats, as well.

Getting back to the Republicans, though, while it might not seem like it now, the party is fully capable of evolving when it sees its best interests threatened. Case in point this time around would be how they talk about gay marriage. Mostly, they don't. This is a monumental shift from the past two decades, when Republicans would eagerly attempt to use gay rights as a wedge issue among voters (which they were wildly successful at, it must be admitted). But since the Supreme Court has effectively ended the argument, Republicans this time around realized that the fight was lost and the more they brought it up the more damage they did to their chances of winning over young voters.

This evolution isn't complete, of course, and it wasn't prompted by a change in heart in any way. Republicans just realized it was a losing issue for them, and dropped it. No post-mortem from a previous election convinced them to do so, instead it was the Supreme Court. Still, it was a blow to those within the party who had been fighting gay rights for years.

Perhaps Trump losing will cause a similar movement within the party on issues such as immigration (perhaps after watching 80 percent or more of the Latino vote go to the Democrat). There may not be ideological shifts, but instead tactical ones. Whatever the issue, Republicans might realize "our position is losing us voters and any chance at the Oval Office," and start ignoring the issue rather than demagoguing it. Perhaps not. Either way, this is more of a tactical response than a fundamental lesson learned by the party at large. But this is really the only type of lesson it will even be possible for Republicans to learn. "Don't be like Trump," though, does not really show all that high a degree of self-examination. Maybe if Trump loses and then the party nominates Ted Cruz in 2020, real lessons can be drawn. But with Trump in the mix, any lesson learned (as with everything else about the Republican nominating process this year) will be entirely about Donald Trump -- and not about fixing the demographic problem the Republican Party still faces in the near future.

Interesting that you cut and paste these articles yet never provide a source.
 
You know, the Congress that had Democrat majorities in both Houses for the first two years if Obama's administration
yes... for one we got Obama care... which the country needs.... it needs some work it's far from perfect.... but if it hadn't been for the democrats we wouldn't even have that.... although helping people who are in need so went against the republicans they did manage to get changes in the house and senate.... but I don't think that will last long... between the obstructionism and offending about every minority there is... they have run their course... hell look at what they have done in the states they have control of.... most are broke and in trouble... they just can't manage much more than the "whining"... they do that well!
 
yes... for one we got Obama care... which the country needs.... it needs some work it's far from perfect.... but if it hadn't been for the democrats we wouldn't even have that.... although helping people who are in need so went against the republicans they did manage to get changes in the house and senate.... but I don't think that will last long... between the obstructionism and offending about every minority there is... they have run their course... hell look at what they have done in the states they have control of.... most are broke and in trouble... they just can't manage much more than the "whining"... they do that well!

So which of these states are "broke", or are you just inventing facts again or conflating your opinion as facts.
 
Yahoo I don't think is partial... I saw 2 articles this morning... one saying about how the republicans are hurting them selves by not doing the scotus and another article going the other way... but like you and anybody else... I read the ones I like... but they pretty much have it both ways
 
So which of these states are "broke", or are you just inventing facts again or conflating your opinion as facts.
KANSAS is a very good example of Tea Party politics.... there are more... but they are in the news everyday.... with the BS they are doing... yesterday I think they were trying to pass a law that they could impeach judges who didn't rule in favor of what they house thought was what was needed
 
Because I’m not a member of the Republican Party, I can’t really purport to know what’s being discussed in its inner circles of power.

But help me out here. President Barack Obama has been making chess moves since the death of Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia — keeping to what needs to be said or decided without forecasting too much, but clearly thinking several steps ahead.


Meanwhile, the Senate GOP leadership is trapped playing political tiddlywinks, figuring that if it gets enough cheap political proclamations into the cup of public discourse, it'll somehow come out ahead of the president.

Those leaders are focused on him; he’s focused on delivering value for the nation, within the confines of a political stalemate.
It’s an embarrassing mismatch — and one that could cost the GOP (though, I don’t believe, the nation) seriously down the road.

Obama’s pick for Scalia’s seat is masterful. Merrick Garland is about the least noxious liberal nominee you can imagine, from a conservative perspective. He’s thoughtful, patient, noncombative, and his opinions defy ideological classification. Sometimes, he sees the law through a liberal lens, but more often, he’s extremely resolutely moderate, sometimes even conservative. Other judges love Merrick Garland, something I remember from the five terms I spent covering the U.S. Supreme Court, just down the road from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia, where Garland has sat since the late 1990s.

He’s the perfect pick, in fact, for the current situation: Democratic president, Republican-controlled Senate. Obama could not go for the ideological jugular; he had to find someone both parties could agree would be suitable for the high court. Garland is far more conservative than both previous Obama nominees, Elena Kagan and Sonia Sotomayor, and would easily be the most conservative of the Democratic appointees.

Picking Garland is a move toward compromise, with a little bit of sacrifice — he’s already on a court that’s considered the closest to the Supremes, and he’s a guy whose record just doesn’t offer a whole lot to pick over. A revolutionary, he is not. But he'd be a win for the White House, even if incremental, if Obama could get him confirmed.
And there's the rub.

The GOP has already painted itself into a corner with a much sillier game — saying that no nominee Obama puts forth will even get a hearing. The reason is a totally made-up rule — not in the Constitution, not found in history — that suggests the president’s appointive power somehow expires in the fourth year of his administration. Republicans say the pick should belong to the next president, even though quite a few of them voted for Anthony Kennedy’s nomination in 1988 — an election year.

In other words, anyone Obama suggests, of any caliber, is unacceptable. The Senate is not opposing a nominee, as is its purview under the Constitution; the GOP is opposing the presidency, and its legitimacy.

Now already, the American public says this is nonsense. Some 55% say the Senate will be shirking its duty if it doesn’t at least hold hearings on the Garland nomination. And overall, let’s think about the optics here. Yes, the president is unpopular — but Congress is far more disliked. And here, Obama is just doing his constitutionally mandated job — sending a pick for an open high court seat. The Senate would be shirking its job by not holding hearings.

What on earth is the upside of that?
 
sorry didn't get the rest of the article... here it is

The political calculations here are even more amateurish.

Think of the mansion-burning dynamic of the Republican presidential primary, and the diminishing chances that the party’s nominee faces in November, particularly if it’s Donald Trump. Do Senate GOP leaders think they’ll get a more moderate pick out of Hillary Clinton?

And it could get worse. If the Senate GOP blocks Garland, doesn’t that add momentum to the arguments that the Senate can’t do its job, and threaten the jobs of incumbent GOP senators running for re-election in blue or purple states?

The court could lurch much further leftward if Clinton could pick a nominee and have a Democratic Senate confirm. That’s fine by me — but is that really what the GOP Senate leadership wants?

There’s more. The next president will almost certainly face two more vacancies in his or her first term — Ruth Bader Ginsburg is 83 and Anthony Kennedy is 79 — and if the GOP were to retain the Senate or win the election this year, that’d be another opportunity to shift the balance.

But blocking Garland would seem to diminish the chances of either holding onto the Senate or winning the presidency.

So what’s the point?

That’s where we get back to the different games being played. The GOP’s is pointless, other than to oppose a president whose legitimacy they’ve questioned from the beginning and whose every step they’ve opposed, whether it made sense or not. Remember: This was the party that abandoned its support of the commonsense individual health care mandate, itself a GOP idea, simply to oppose this president. This is a party that opposed immigration reform that its own senators had signed off on, again to thwart Obama.

Here, that’s the aim. They’re not against the nominee; they’re against the president. And if they sink the party deeper into disadvantage by refusing to confirm Merrick Garland, I guess, on some warped plane of political gamesmanship, that’s a win.

The victory laps won’t be any fun, though, if the American public punishes them as mightily as it could in November.
 
In a way the USA is a one party country. And that party is the elitist party. It has two factions, the democrats and the republicans. They differ widely in rhetoric but little in any truly meaningful way. They both have the interests of the elite and themselves in mind and not the average american. They are both corrupt and will chip away at americans standards of living, rights and freedoms.
 
They are both corrupt and will chip away at americans standards of living, rights and freedoms.
no argument there.... for what seems.... forever... we have to chose between the lesser of the evils.... no body in their right mind would want to run and willingly submit themselves to the humiliation and harassment and belittlement that is politics now.... when did we allow it to become 'dirty" and paid for!
we allowed this mess to go on and now we are ****** to live with the consequences.... seems to be no end in sight and no way of stopping it...Kasich has run a nice clean campaign.... but the other 2 are already plotting to get him out.... the dems have done a ....decent job of keeping it clean... but....I guess it comes down to the devil you know as opposed to the one you don't.... and that's to bad.... I blame Norquist and Rove here lately... but I am partial... it was going on before them... just it has got out of control now
 
GOP rolls out baffling double standard for Obama’s Court nominee
Just about every senator in both parties issued written statements yesterday responding to President Obama nominating Judge Merrick Garland for the Supreme Court, but Sen. Pat Toomey’s (R-Pa.) stood out as unique.

Facing a credible re-election challenge this year, Toomey has already joined his party’s blockade against any high court nominee this year, but in his press release, the Pennsylvania Republican managed to blaze his own trail: “Should Merrick Garland be nominated again by the next president, I would be happy to carefully consider his nomination.”

Hmm. If some other president nominates Garland, Toomey might support the jurist’s confirmation, but not this president. Garland may deserve careful consideration in January 2017, but in March 2016, according to Toomey, it’s out of the question.

On the campaign trail in Pennsylvania yesterday, Republican presidential hopeful John Kasich adopted a related line. The Ohio governor made the case that other presidents can put forward Supreme Court nominees in the early months of their final year in office, but this president should not. The Washington Post reported:
“I think a president can pick a nominee in the last year, but the fact is, you have somebody who’s created this terrible polarization,” said Kasich. “You cannot stiff the legislative body that you have to work with. You just can’t do that. And he’s had no relationship with them. He got Obamacare – not one [Republican] vote. Then he did executive orders, which he shouldn’t have done. It’s a total breakdown down there.”

According to a video of the comments, Kasich added that a Supreme Court nomination means “more fighting, more fighting,” which is something the White House should avoid.

None of this makes any sense at all.





Some of the details are just plainly wrong. Kasich’s proof of the president “stiffing” Congress is health care reform – which was approved by Congress. The GOP governor complained about Obama’s executive orders, but the truth is this president has issued fewer executive orders than any modern two-term president.



But even if we put these odd factual misstatements aside, Kasich’s core argument is that President Obama shouldn’t try to fill a Supreme Court vacancy because we’re living in an era of political polarization. If routine governing leads to “more fighting,” the argument goes, than Obama – whom Kasich inexplicably blames for the toxic political air – should sit on his hands and do nothing.



Other, less polarizing presidents have the authority to make Supreme Court nominations, but this president – who has the audacity to pursue his agenda despite Republican opposition – must steer clear of anything that might be perceived as controversial. By Kasich’s reasoning, the only steps Obama should take are the ones his radicalized Republican critics approve of.



This is a genuinely bizarre approach to contemporary politics, but just as importantly, it’s an argument that appears even more foolish given the GOP’s consistent praise of Merrick Garland over the course of many years.



Republicans may stick to the line that there should be an anti-Obama double-standard, but there’s no reason anyone should take it seriously.
 
Republicans are simple proof that "if you repeat a lie often and loud enough, it becomes fact". The polarization started the day before Obama took his first oath of office, when conspiring Republicans met to plan his "failure" as the new president, and hopes of regaining the POTUS in 2012. Like everything else that they've tried to do, they failed at that.

They're the ones that met, a second time, the day of Obama's second inauguration to plan the shutdown of the federal government courtesy of the Heritage Action for America (Heritage Foundation), recruiting yours truly, Ted Cruz, and calling for an end of ALL judicial and executive branch confirmations for Obama.

So, let them hold the line on the President's Supreme Court nominee, it only adds more fuel to a growing population of voters that have had enough of these pea brain thinkers. Once Hillary takes the reigns, maybe she'll reward them with a really far-left nominee and they'll be wishing they'd have accepted Obama's choice.

This party simply refuses to take ANY direct responsibility for their current situation. Absolutely NONE.
 
GOP rolls out baffling double standard for Obama’s Court nominee
Just about every senator in both parties issued written statements yesterday responding to President Obama nominating Judge Merrick Garland for the Supreme Court, but Sen. Pat Toomey’s (R-Pa.) stood out as unique.

Facing a credible re-election challenge this year, Toomey has already joined his party’s blockade against any high court nominee this year, but in his press release, the Pennsylvania Republican managed to blaze his own trail: “Should Merrick Garland be nominated again by the next president, I would be happy to carefully consider his nomination.”

Hmm. If some other president nominates Garland, Toomey might support the jurist’s confirmation, but not this president. Garland may deserve careful consideration in January 2017, but in March 2016, according to Toomey, it’s out of the question.

On the campaign trail in Pennsylvania yesterday, Republican presidential hopeful John Kasich adopted a related line. The Ohio governor made the case that other presidents can put forward Supreme Court nominees in the early months of their final year in office, but this president should not. The Washington Post reported:
“I think a president can pick a nominee in the last year, but the fact is, you have somebody who’s created this terrible polarization,” said Kasich. “You cannot stiff the legislative body that you have to work with. You just can’t do that. And he’s had no relationship with them. He got Obamacare – not one [Republican] vote. Then he did executive orders, which he shouldn’t have done. It’s a total breakdown down there.”

According to a video of the comments, Kasich added that a Supreme Court nomination means “more fighting, more fighting,” which is something the White House should avoid.

None of this makes any sense at all.





Some of the details are just plainly wrong. Kasich’s proof of the president “stiffing” Congress is health care reform – which was approved by Congress. The GOP governor complained about Obama’s executive orders, but the truth is this president has issued fewer executive orders than any modern two-term president.



But even if we put these odd factual misstatements aside, Kasich’s core argument is that President Obama shouldn’t try to fill a Supreme Court vacancy because we’re living in an era of political polarization. If routine governing leads to “more fighting,” the argument goes, than Obama – whom Kasich inexplicably blames for the toxic political air – should sit on his hands and do nothing.



Other, less polarizing presidents have the authority to make Supreme Court nominations, but this president – who has the audacity to pursue his agenda despite Republican opposition – must steer clear of anything that might be perceived as controversial. By Kasich’s reasoning, the only steps Obama should take are the ones his radicalized Republican critics approve of.



This is a genuinely bizarre approach to contemporary politics, but just as importantly, it’s an argument that appears even more foolish given the GOP’s consistent praise of Merrick Garland over the course of many years.



Republicans may stick to the line that there should be an anti-Obama double-standard, but there’s no reason anyone should take it seriously.
The Senate republicans are just following years of Senate precedent....following the "Biden Rule" and the "Schumer Rule". Both Biden and Schumer argued that Bush 41 and Bush 43 shouldn't have any supreme court nominees considered in the last year of their respective terms. Schumer took it even further. He stated 18 months before the end of Bush 43's term that he shouldn't get any more supreme court nominations approved.

http://www.politico.com/story/2007/07/schumer-to-fight-new-bush-high-court-picks-005146

http://www.delawareonline.com/story...omments-haunt-him-two-decades-later/81865194/

The old saying about chickens definitely applies here. It is usually abbreviated and loses some meaning today. Originally the phrase was: "Curses are like young chickens, they always come home to roost"
 
Liberal_Hypocrisy.jpg
Valid point
 
The Republican's current situation speaks for itself. What I really find funny, is when talking about their situation, Republicans like to say it is about ALL politicians, not just Republicans. Well, voters are, no doubt, fed up with the school yard fightings (such as this thread seems to produce), but the country is fed up with obstructionist Republicans primarily, and I don't care WHO they run in 2016, Republicans are going to get beat like a rented mule. The only question is, will they win back the Senate for the next Democrat president? And, let's let Hillary or Berney NAME the next Supreme Court Judge ... Obama's presented 2 with Republican backgrounds. I can assure you neither Hillary or Bernie will. But then, last few years the ReThugs have been doing a pretty good job of shooting themselves in the feet with their own obstructionism. I say, "Bring it on, RETHUGS!"
I shudder to think what the nation debt would be if President Obama had been given free reign. PPACA isn't doing as great as you would would have us believe. Medical price increases are back to where they were pre-PPACA. Currently 3% of cancer patients file bankruptcy. Even with subsidies the only health care many can afford have huge deductibles. I am curious how the national debt is going to get paid down.
 
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